PD Dr. Yann Vitasse

Purpose of review: To synthesize new information regarding the environmental sensitivity and impact of climate change on leaf-, wood-, phloem- and root phenology of deciduous forests of the temperate (and boreal) zone, comprising overstory and understory, and both woody and herbaceous species.
Recent findings: The environmental sensitivity and impact of climate change on spring leaf phenology are relatively well understood, with ongoing efforts focusing on the spatial and temporal variability in both overstory and understory. Autumn leaf phenology and cambial phenology have received increasing attention in recent years. The drivers of senescence progression are well understood (current temperature), while the drivers of the onset of senescence are still uncertain but likely relate to spring temperature, water availability and light conditions. Studies on cambial phenology of angiosperm trees have focused on the variability across populations and years, while studies on phloem remain scarce and synthesis studies are unavailable. For fine root phenology, asynchronicity with leaf phenology and high variability among species have been demonstrated, but large uncertainty remains regarding the drivers of the onset and cessation of their growth. Studies on woody and herbaceous understory highlight the importance of microclimate differences within the stand.
Summary: Future phenology research should focus on (i) onset of leaf senescence, (ii) fine roots, (iii) the relationships between overstory and understory species not only regarding leaves, but also wood and fine roots, (iv) variability across multiples scales (e.g. individuals, stands), and (v) interannual legacy effects and connections among phenophases of different organs and forest compartments.

Changes in vegetation carbon uptake are largely influenced by the timing and magnitude of the peak of the growing season (POS), when vegetation photosynthesis reaches its maximum. However, the factors controlling the timing of POS remain poorly understood, leaving us uncertain about its future trajectory. Using satellite observations and carbon flux measurements, we show that, in recent decades, increased early-season carbon uptake has been driven by both an earlier onset of the growing season and higher temperatures. In 93% of northern (>30°N) vegetation, these increases in early-season carbon uptake were associated with an advancement of POS. This ongoing shift suggests a developmental constraint on seasonal productivity, potentially limiting carbon uptake later in the season. Our findings provide a mechanistic explanation that reconciles previous observations linking earlier growing season onset, rising temperatures, and shifts in POS timing, and suggest a decrease in late-season carbon uptake with climate warming.

Purpose of Review: This review synthesizes recent advancements and identifies knowledge gaps in the tree growth phenology of both belowground and aboveground organs in extra-tropical forest ecosystems. Phenology, the study of periodic plant life cycle events, is crucial for understanding tree fitness, competition for resources, and the impacts of climate change on ecosystems. By examining the phenological processes of various tree organs, the review aims to provide a comprehensive understanding of how these processes are interconnected and how they influence overall tree growth and ecosystem dynamics. The review aims to provide a comprehensive overview of current knowledge, highlight recent technological advancements, and identify critical areas where further research is needed.
Recent Findings: The review highlights significant progress in monitoring leaf and canopy phenology, thanks to advancements in remote sensing and automated observation systems. These technologies have enhanced our ability to track seasonal changes in leaf development and canopy dynamics more accurately and over larger areas. There has also been a substantial increase in research on wood formation in stems, expanding beyond northern hemisphere conifers to include a broader range of functional groups. However, despite these efforts, identifying the precise drivers of wood formation remains challenging, necessitating further integration of molecular and eco-physiological insights. A critical area of focus is root phenology, encompassing both primary and secondary growth. Despite the fundamental role of roots in tree physiology and ecosystem dynamics, our understanding of root phenology remains limited, primarily due to the inherent difficulties in monitoring root growth. The review emphasizes the need for more detailed studies on root growth processes and the development of new methodologies and technologies to improve root phenology assessments.
Summary: The review highlights the importance of incorporating eco-physiological insights into phenological assessments. Leaf and canopy phenology would benefit from more studies focusing on autumnal events. Indeed, compared to the onset of the growing season, much less is known about its end, despite its critical importance for understanding processes such as carbon uptake and nutrient cycle. Advancing knowledge of wood growth phenology will require greater focus on angiosperms, as research on xylogenesis has historically been centered on gymnosperms. This will likely necessitate the development of new, tailored methodologies to address the characteristics of angiosperm wood formation. Similarly, further exploration of phloem phenology is essential to better understand the links between phenological processes across different organs. Finally, compared to other organs, root growth remains less well understood, underscoring the need for deepening the investigation on root phenology in the coming years.

Progressively warmer and drier climatic conditions impact tree phenology and carbon cycling with large consequences for forest carbon balance. However, it remains unclear how individual impacts of warming and drier soils differ from their combined effects and how species interactions modulate tree responses. Using mesocosms, we assessed the multiyear impact of continuous air warming and lower soil moisture alone or in combination on phenology, leaf-level photosynthesis, nonstructural carbohydrate concentrations, and aboveground growth of young European beech (Fagus sylvatica L.) and Downy oak (Quercus pubescens Willd.) trees. We further tested how species interactions (in monocultures and in mixtures) modulated these effects. Warming prolonged the growing season of both species but reduced growth in oak. In contrast, lower moisture did not impact phenology but reduced carbon assimilation and growth in both species. Combined impacts of warming and drier soils did not differ from their single effects. Under warmer and drier conditions, performances of both species were enhanced in mixtures compared to monocultures. Our work revealed that higher temperature and lower soil moisture have contrasting impacts on phenology vs. leaf-level assimilation and growth, with the former being driven by temperature and the latter by moisture. Furthermore, we showed a compensation in the negative impacts of chronic heat and drought by tree species interactions.

1. Plant phenology is crucial for understanding plant growth and climate feedback. It affects canopy structure, surface albedo, and carbon and water fluxes. While the influence of environmental factors on phenology is well-documented, the role of plant intrinsic factors, particularly internal physiological processes and their interaction with external conditions, has received less attention.
2. Non-structural carbohydrates (NSC), which include sugars and starch essential for growth, metabolism and osmotic regulation, serve as indicators of carbon availability in plants. NSC levels reflect the carbon balance between photosynthesis (source activity) and the demands of growth and respiration (sink activity), making them key physiological traits that potentially influence phenology during critical periods such as spring leaf-out and autumn leaf senescence. However, the connections between NSC concentrations in various organs and phenological events are poorly understood.
3. This review synthesizes current research on the relationship between leaf phenology and NSC dynamics. We qualitatively delineate seasonal NSC variations in deciduous and evergreen trees and propose testable hypotheses about how NSC may interact with phenological stages such as bud break and leaf senescence. We also discuss how seasonal variations in NSC levels, align with existing conceptual models of carbon allocation.
4. Accurate characterization and simulation of NSC dynamics are crucial and should be incorporated into carbon allocation models. By comparing and reviewing the development of carbon allocation models, we highlight the shortcomings in current methodologies and recommend directions to address these gaps in future research. Understanding the relationship between NSC, source–sink relationships, and leaf phenology poses challenges due to the difficulty of characterizing NSC dynamics with high temporal resolution. We advocate for a multi-scale approach that combines various methods, which include deepening our mechanistic understanding through manipulative experiments, integrating carbon sink and source data from multiple observational networks with carbon allocation models to better characterize the NSC dynamics, and quantifying the spatial pattern and temporal trends of the NSC-phenology relationship using remote sensing and modelling. This will enhance our comprehension of how NSC dynamics impact leaf phenology across different scales and environments. Read the free Plain Language Summary for this article on the Journal blog.

Aim: Climate change challenges temperate forest trees by increasingly irregular precipitation and rising temperatures. Due to long generation cycles, trees cannot quickly adapt genetically. Hence, the persistence of tree populations in the face of ongoing climate change depends largely on phenotypic variation, that is the capability of a genotype to express variable phenotypes under different environmental conditions, known as plasticity. We aimed to quantify phenotypic variation of central Europe's naturally dominant forest tree across various intraspecific scales (individuals, mother trees (families), populations) to evaluate its potential to respond to changing climatic conditions.
Location: Europe.
Time Period: 2016–2019.
Major Taxa Studied: European beech (Fagus sylvatica L.).
Methods: We conducted a fully reciprocal transplantation experiment with more than 9000 beech seeds from seven populations across a Europe-wide gradient. We compared morphological (Specific Leaf Area), phenological (leaf unfolding) and fitness-related (growth, survival) traits across various biological scales: within single mother trees, within populations and across different populations under the contrasting climates of the translocation sites. Results: The experiment revealed significant phenotypic variation within the offspring of each mother tree, regardless of geographic origin. Initially, seedling height growth varied among mother trees and populations, likely due to maternal effects. However, the growth performance successively aligned after the first year. In summary, we observed a consistent growth response in different beech populations to diverse environments after initial maternal effects.
Main conclusions: The study strikingly demonstrates the importance of considering intraspecific variation. Given the surprisingly broad spectrum of phenotypes each mother tree holds within its juvenile offspring, we conclude that Fagus sylvatica might have the potential for medium-term population persistence in face of climate change, provided that this pattern persists into later life stages. Hence, we also suggest further investigating the inclusion of passive adaptation and natural dynamics in the adaptive management of forests.

Global warming is affecting the phenological cycles of plants and animals, altering the complex synchronization that has co-evolved over thousands of years between interacting species and trophic levels. Here, we examined how warmer winter conditions affect the timing of budburst in six common European trees and the hatching of a generalist leaf-feeding insect, the spongy moth Lymantria dispar, whose fitness depends on the synchrony between egg hatch and leaf emergence of the host tree. We applied four different temperature treatments to L. dispar eggs and twig cuttings, that mimicked warmer winters and reduced chilling temperatures that are necessary for insect diapause and bud dormancy release, using heated open-top chambers (ambient or +3.5°C), and heated greenhouses (maintained at >6°C or >10°C). In addition, we conducted preference and performance tests to determine which tree species the larvae prefer and benefit from the most. Budburst success and twig survival were highest for all tree species at ambient temperature conditions, whereas it declined under elevated winter temperature for Tilia cordata and Acer pseudoplatanus, likely due to a lack of chilling. While L. dispar egg hatch coincided with budburst in most tree species within 10 days under ambient conditions, it coincided with budburst only in Quercus robur, Carpinus betulus, and, to a lesser extent, Ulmus glabra under warmer conditions. With further warming, we, therefore, expect an increasing mismatch in trees with high chilling requirements, such as Fagus sylvatica and A. pseudoplatanus, but still good synchronization with trees having low chilling requirements, such as Q. robur and C. betulus. Surprisingly, first instar larvae preferred and gained weight faster when fed with leaves of F. sylvatica, while Q. robur ranked second. Our results suggest that spongy moth outbreaks are likely to persist in oak and hornbeam forests in western and central Europe.

Despite considerable experimental effort, the physiological mechanisms governing temperate tree species' water and carbon dynamics before the onset of the growing period remain poorly understood. We applied ²H-enriched water during winter dormancy to the soil of four potted European tree species. After 8 weeks of chilling, hydrogen isotopes in stem, twig and bud water were measured six times during 2 consecutive weeks of forcing conditions (Experiment 1). Additionally, we pulse-labelled above-ground plant tissues using ²H-enriched water vapour and ¹³C-enriched CO₂ 7 days after exposure to forcing conditions to trace atmospheric water and carbon uptake (Experiment 2). Experiment 1 revealed soil water incorporation into the above-ground organs of all species during the chilling phase and significant species-specific differences in water allocation during the forcing conditions, which we attributed to differences in structural traits. Experiment 2 illustrated water vapour incorporation into all above-ground tissue of all species. However, the incorporation of carbon was found for evergreen saplings only. Our results suggest that temperate trees take up and reallocate soil water and absorb atmospheric water to maintain sufficient above-ground tissue hydration during winter. Therefore, our findings provide new insights into the water allocation dynamics of temperate trees during early spring.

Earlier spring growth onset in temperate forests is a visible effect of global warming that alters global water and carbon cycling. Consequently, it becomes crucial to accurately predict the future spring phenological shifts in vegetation under different climate warming scenarios. However, current phenological models suffer from a lack of physiological insights of tree dormancy and are rarely experimentally validated. Here, we sampled twig cuttings of five deciduous tree species at two climatically different locations (270 and 750 m a.s.l., ~ 2.3 °C difference) throughout the winter of 2019–20. Twig budburst success, thermal time to budburst, bud water content and short-term ²H-labelled water uptake into buds were quantified to link bud dormancy status with vascular water transport efficacy, with the objective of establishing connections between the dormancy status of buds and their effectiveness in vascular water transport. We found large differences in the dormancy status between species throughout the entire investigation period, likely reflecting species-specific environmental requirements to initiate and release dormancy, whereas only small differences in the dormancy status were found between the two studied sites. We found strong ²H-labelled water uptake into buds during leaf senescence, followed by a sharp decrease, which we ascribed to the initiation of endodormancy. However, surprisingly, we did not find a progressive increase in ²H-labelled water uptake into buds as winter advanced. Nonetheless, all examined tree species exhibited a consistent relationship between bud water content and dormancy status. Our results suggest that short-term ²H-labelled water uptake may not be a robust indicator of dormancy release, yet it holds promise as a method for tracking the induction of dormancy in deciduous trees. By contrast, bud water content emerges as a cost-effective and more reliable indicator of dormancy release.

1. Phenological shifts in response to changing climatic conditions is a key acclimation process for the persistence of perennial plants in temperate and boreal climates. The optimal time to leaf-out is the result of an evolutionary process determined by the trade-off between minimizing the risk of freezing damages and herbivory pressure while maximizing resource uptake to increase competitiveness against the other plants.
2. We quantified the penalty exerted by frost damage at the time of leaf emergence on plant development (reduction in leaf area, canopy duration and growth) over the potential gains without frost (increased biomass and non-structural carbohydrate reserves), depending on when leaf-out occurs. To this purpose, we exposed 960 saplings of four temperate deciduous tree species with contrasting cold hardiness to two frost intensities shortly after leaf emergence, which was artificially induced at four occasions to reflect the whole range of natural leaf-out dates.
3. One year above-ground biomass (AGB) increments following the frost revealed a clear ranking among the species depending on their strategy to cope with damaging frosts. Prunus avium (−41% of AGB-increment compared to control saplings) resprouted from the stem base, Quercus robur (−62%) rapidly produced new leaves from dormant reserve buds, Fagus sylvatica (−98%) showed highest chlorophyll content in autumn and delayed senescence together with Carpinus betulus (−105%), which overcompensated NSC reserves after the growing season but showed highest mortality (up to 32%). In all species, NSC reserves recovered rapidly to control levels at the expense of growth.
4. The timing of leaf-out (advanced and delayed artificially) significantly affected the performance and recovery (regreening and growth) of both frozen and non-frozen saplings, with the lowest performance found at the most delayed leaf-out date. We propose that the potential to recover from frost damages is an important component of a tree's performance, particularly at the juvenile stage. The ability to recover may become even more decisive in the future with the predicted increase of false springs in many extratropical regions.

Radial stem growth is a key ecosystem process resulting in long-term carbon sequestration. Despite recognition of its importance to global carbon cycling, high uncertainties remain regarding how radial growth phenology (e.g., the onset, mid, and cessation of radial growth) will be affected by climate change. In this study, we evaluated to what extent high spatially (3 × 3 m) and temporally (up to daily) resolved satellite imagery from PlanetScope can be used to monitor stem growth phenology. For this, we made use of detailed stem growth phenological observations of six common European tree species measured by automated point dendrometers at 14 distinct sites across Switzerland between 2017 and 2021. These growth phenological observations were then linked through multiple regression modeling with metrics extracted from spectral index time series. Our results show that the remote sensing-based models enable monitoring the onset (root mean squared deviation (RMSD) ranges from 5.96 to 27.04 days) and mid-stages of stem growth (RMSD ranges from 10.20 to 36.34 days) with reasonable accuracy as opposed to the cessation of stem growth that showed low accuracy (RMSD ranges from 16.02 to 153.63 days). The accuracy of the remote sensing-based prediction models and their optimal suite of predictors varied across species. The latter has important implications for the remote sensing of stem growth phenology in mixed forests, suggesting that it is important for satellite sensors to resolve individual tree crowns. Overall, our results suggest the need for novel spectral indices that capture the spectral components of mechanistic linkages between stem growth and canopy properties that go beyond the mere detection of leaf phenology. When employing such spectral indices, remote sensing could make it possible to detect not only shifts in leaf phenology caused by climate change but also those in stem growth on a broad spatial scale.

Over the past decades, global warming has led to a lengthening of the time window during which temperatures remain favorable for carbon assimilation and tree growth, resulting in a lengthening of the green season. The extent to which forest green seasons have tracked the lengthening of this favorable period under climate warming, however, has not been quantified to date. Here, we used remote sensing data and long-term ground observations of leaf-out and coloration for six dominant species of European trees at 1773 sites, for a total of 6060 species-site combinations, during 1980–2016 and found that actual green season extensions (GS: 3.1 ± 0.1 day decade^-1) lag four times behind extensions of the potential thermal season (TS: 12.6 ± 0.1 day decade^-1). Similar but less pronounced differences were obtained using satellite-derived vegetation phenology observations, that is, a lengthening of 4.4 ± 0.13 and 7.5 ± 0.13 day decade^-1 for GS and TS, respectively. This difference was mainly driven by the larger advance in the onset of the thermal season compared to the actual advance of leaf-out dates (spring mismatch: 7.2 ± 0.1 day decade^-1), but to a less extent caused by a phenological mismatch between GS and TS in autumn (2.4 ± 0.1 day decade^-1). Our results showed that forest trees do not linearly track the new thermal window extension, indicating more complex interactions between winter and spring temperatures and photoperiod and a justification of demonstrating that using more sophisticated models that include the influence of chilling and photoperiod is needed to accurately predict spring phenological changes under warmer climate. They urge caution if such mechanisms are omitted to predict, for example, how vegetative health and growth, species distribution and crop yields will change in the future.

The benefits and risks of human-aided translocation of individuals within the species range, assisted gene flow (AGF), depend on the genetic divergence, on the rate and direction of hybridization, and on the climate transfer distance between the host and donor populations. In this study, we explored the use of Oriental beech (Fagus sylvatica subsp. orientalis), growing from Iran to the Balkans, for AGF into European beech populations (F. sylvatica subsp. sylvatica) that increasingly suffer from climate warming. Using samples from natural populations of Oriental and European beech and microsatellite loci, we identified 5 distinct genetic clusters in Oriental beech with a divergence (F_ST) of 0.15 to 0.25 from European beech. Using this knowledge, we traced the origin of 11 Oriental beech stands in Western Europe established during the 20th century. In two stands of Greater Caucasus origin, we found evidence for extensive hybridization, with 18% and 41% of the offspring having hybrid status. Climate data revealed higher seasonality with warmer and drier summers across the native Oriental beech sites in comparison to the planting sites in Western Europe. Accordingly, we found that bud burst of Oriental beech occurred four days earlier than in European beech. Overall, our results suggest that AGF of Oriental beech could increase the genetic diversity of European beech stands and may foster introgression of variants adapted to expected future climatic conditions. Our study showcases the evaluation of the benefits and risks of AGF and call for similar studies on other native tree species.

Human impacts such as habitat loss, climate change and biological invasions are radically altering biodiversity, with greater effects projected into the future. Evidence suggests human impacts may differ substantially between terrestrial and freshwater ecosystems, but the reasons for these differences are poorly understood. We propose an integrative approach to explain these differences by linking impacts to four fundamental processes that structure communities: dispersal, speciation, species-level selection and ecological drift. Our goal is to provide process-based insights into why human impacts, and responses to impacts, may differ across ecosystem types using a mechanistic, eco-evolutionary comparative framework. To enable these insights, we review and synthesise (i) how the four processes influence diversity and dynamics in terrestrial versus freshwater communities, specifically whether the relative importance of each process differs among ecosystems, and (ii) the pathways by which human impacts can produce divergent responses across ecosystems, due to differences in the strength of processes among ecosystems we identify. Finally, we highlight research gaps and next steps, and discuss how this approach can provide new insights for conservation. By focusing on the processes that shape diversity in communities, we aim to mechanistically link human impacts to ongoing and future changes in ecosystems.

Climate change leads to an increased frequency of severe weather events as well as stressful growing conditions. Together these changes may impact the resilience of ecosystems. To keep track of such effects, conservation managers monitor the “ecological integrity” or coherence of ecosystem processes, such as the cycling of carbon and water. Networked phenocams can produce near-continuous observations of leaf function in the context of climate change, capturing declines due to disturbance or stress. Here we explore the application of phenocams to detect responses to disturbance and stress using 14 examples from the PhenoCam Network. We selected these previously published and new examples to include a variety of disturbances in the form of hurricanes, a windstorm, frost, insect defoliation, and stress due to drought. Frost and herbivory disturbances led to both reductions and extensions in the duration of the rising section of the greenness curve, while hurricanes generally led to reductions in the duration of the plateau section and entire leaf-on period. We found that changes of at least ±20% in the duration of the rising section in the seasonal greenness curve, ±20% in the duration of the plateau section following the seasonal greenness peak, and ±10% in the duration of the entire leaf-on period were a reliable signal of leaf functional declines due to disturbance or stress. If such declines become increasingly frequent and severe as a consequence of climate change, this could impact ecological integrity through interruptions to ecosystem processes. Comparing the duration of these periods in a given year to the average for other years with these thresholds resulted in average true detection rates of 86% and false-positive detection rates of 11% when sampling from probability density functions of 344 broadleaf and needleleaf PhenoCam site-years. Here we show that phenocams are powerful ecological integrity monitoring tools, which can be efficiently applied to quantify dynamic responses to disturbance or stress.

Des sécheresses impactant fortement les forêts se sont déjà produites dans le passé en Europe (1911, à la fin des années 1940, 1976). Les plus récentes des étés 2003, 2018 et 2022, ont été marquées également par des vagues de chaleur sans précédent. L'augmentation prévue des épisodes de sécheresses extrêmes et des canicules constitue un défi majeur pour les forestiers œuvrant pour une gestion durable permettant de fournir des services de qualité. Cet article apporte des explications sur les effets combinés des fortes chaleurs et sécheresses sur la santé des arbres en liaison avec les changements phénologiques des plantes et des insectes. Enfin, les comportements différentiels de la réponse à des sécheresses des principales espèces européennes observés par approche dendrochronologique apporte des informations sur les espèces à privilégier dans le futur.

Droughts with strong impacts on forests have occurred in Europe in the past (in 1911, at the end of 1940's, in 1976). The most recent droughts during the summers of 2003, 2018 and 2022 have also been marked by unprece-dented heatwaves. The predicted increase of extreme drought events and heatwaves is a major challenge for foresters who aim at sustainable management to provide high-quality services. The present article provides ex-planations about the combined effects of heatwaves and droughts on tree health, in link with phenological changes among plants and insects. Finally, the differential drought responses of the main European species observed through a dendrochronological approach bring information on the species to be favoured in the future.

Werden Störungen in Wäldern auf der Alpennordseite in den nächsten Jahrzehnten zunehmen? Auf der Suche nach Antworten liefern quantitative Angaben über Waldschäden wie Sturmholz, Käferholz, Bruchholz und Waldbrandflächen vom Beginn des 20. Jahrhunderts bis heute konkrete Anhaltspunkte. Trotz Unvollständigkeit der Datenreihen zeigen die meisten Trends eine starke Zunahme der Waldschäden infolge von Störungen seit den 1980er-Jahren an. Gründe dafür sind der verschärfte Klimawandel, steigender Holzvorrat, invasive Schadorganismen und verschiedene Interaktionen. Wir gehen davon aus, dass diese Trends sich in gleicher Richtung fortsetzen werden.

Will disturbances in forests on the north of the Alps increase in the coming decades? In the search for answers, quantitative data provide concrete clues on forest damage such as storm wood, beetle wood, broken wood and forest fire areas from the beginning of the 20th century. Despite the incompleteness of the data series, most trends indicate a strong increase in forest damage caused by disturbances since the 1980s. The reasons for this increase are exacerbated by climate change, increasing stock of wood, invasive pests, and various interactions. We expect these trends to continue in the same direction.

Global warming is having an unprecedented impact on plant phenology and vitality worldwide, potentially leading to significant changes in the food web, carbon, water cycling and ecosystem functions. Environmental drivers explaining spring phenology, mainly including temperature (chilling in late autumn and winter and forcing in late winter and spring) and photoperiod, have been extensively investigated in temperate trees, but these factors have been rarely studied in subtropical forests and their potential effects are therefore relatively unknown. This knowledge gap is especially important to fill because these ecosystems harbor the largest portion of the world's biodiversity. In this study, we sought to test the effects of chilling (low vs. high) and forcing temperatures (20 vs. 25 °C) on spring phenology for seedlings of five subtropical woody species using six climate chambers. We compared forcing requirements for budburst and leaf-out in the different treatments by calculating the number of degree days achieved from the start of the experiment to the time of budburst and leaf-out, and we examined seedlings’ survival under the different treatments. Although the survival of subtropical seedlings was found to be little affected by variation in chilling or forcing, longer chilling duration and warmer forcing temperature led to a lower forcing requirement for budburst, which advanced both budburst and leaf-out. This suggests that the seedlings experienced a non-linear accumulation of forcing with generally a higher efficiency at 25 °C than at 20 °C. Interestingly, shorter exposure to chilling conditions disrupted the sequence of budburst / leaf-out timings among the study species. This study confirms that the sensitivity of spring leaf phenology to forcing and chilling is not only found in temperate perennial plants but also in subtropical trees that undergo a dormancy period. It offers new perspectives for a comprehensive analysis of subtropical plant phenology in response to global climate change.

Climate change is shifting the growing seasons of plants, affecting species performance and biogeochemical cycles. Yet how the timing of autumn leaf senescence in Northern Hemisphere forests will change remains uncertain. Using satellite, ground, carbon flux, and experimental data, we show that early-season and late-season warming have opposite effects on leaf senescence, with a reversal occurring after the year’s longest day (the summer solstice). Across 84% of the northern forest area, increased temperature and vegetation activity before the solstice led to an earlier senescence onset of, on average, 1.9 ± 0.1 days per °C, whereas warmer post-solstice temperatures extended senescence duration by 2.6 ± 0.1 days per °C. The current trajectories toward an earlier onset and slowed progression of senescence affect Northern Hemisphere–wide trends in growing-season length and forest productivity.

Forests account for nearly 90 % of the world's terrestrial biomass in the form of carbon and they support 80 % of the global biodiversity. To understand the underlying forest dynamics, we need a long-term but also relatively high-frequency, networked monitoring system, as traditionally used in meteorology or hydrology. While there are numerous existing forest monitoring sites, particularly in temperate regions, the resulting data streams are rarely connected and do not provide information promptly, which hampers real-time assessments of forest responses to extreme climate events.
The technology to build a better global forest monitoring network now exists. This white paper addresses the key structural components needed to achieve a novel meta-network.
We propose to complement - rather than replace or unify - the existing heterogeneous infrastructure with standardized, quality-assured linking methods and interacting data processing centers to create an integrated forest monitoring network.
These automated (research topic-dependent) linking methods in atmosphere, biosphere, and pedosphere play a key role in scaling site-specific results and processing them in a timely manner. To ensure broad participation from existing monitoring sites and to establish new sites, these linking methods must be as informative, reliable, affordable, and maintainable as possible, and should be supplemented by near real-time remote sensing data.
The proposed novel meta-network will enable the detection of emergent patterns that would not be visible from isolated analyses of individual sites. In addition, the near real-time availability of data will facilitate predictions of current forest conditions (nowcasts), which are urgently needed for research and decision making in the face of rapid climate change. We call for international and interdisciplinary efforts in this direction.